Last Friday, the World Bank released its Country Policy and Institutional Assessment (CPIA) of low-income countries. While the assessments are mainly used to determine the allocation of concessional IDA resources to poor countries, they can also provide a useful picture of the evolution of policies and institutions in Africa, as a recent note by my colleagues Delfin Go and Vijdan Korman shows. They find that:
Over the past eight years, African countries’ performance is about average compared with East Asia and South Asia.
Within Africa, Cape Verde, Tanzania, Uganda and Ghana have consistently had strong CPIA scores, while Zimbabwe, Comoros, Central African Republic and Eritrea seem to be stuck at the
low end of the scale.
Over the past five years, the biggest improvements in CPIA scores were registered by Ghana, Rwanda, Zambia and Mozambique, while Eritrea, Chad and Zimbabwe experienced the largest deterioration. Seven of Africa’s nine oil exporters (Angola and Nigeria were the exceptions) saw their CPIA scores decline.
For Africa as a whole, most of the improvement in policies and institutions was in the category called “economic management”—essentially macroeconomic and fiscal policies. The average scores on the other dimensions—structural policies, equity and social inclusion, and public management—stagnated. While some countries showed improvements along these other dimensions, an equal number of countries saw their scores go down.
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Pah, conjuring numbers and statistics is neither here nor there.
ReplyDeleteIn the end you have to ask how many poor people have improved their livelihood, health etc.
You gave example Eritrea that is scored low by world bank,IMF etc while in reality it has made a huge jump on life expectancy, child mortality etc while having low GDP.
Recent WHO and Unicef report that you can verify.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/30864223/wid/11915773/
[Quote]
Eritrea increased its average life expectancy by 33 years to 61 for men, and by 12 years to 65 for women overtaking Russia.
"WHO’s annual World Health Statistics"
http://www.unicef.org/infobycountry/eritrea_46858.html
[Quote]
Eritrea’s under-five mortality declined by roughly 50 per cent.
“Eritrea has provided an example that if concerted efforts are made, a lot can be achieved for children,” she said.
"unicef"
So all this statistics that world bank and IMF give should be taken with a pinch of salt.
They will also tell you Ethiopia has more than 10% growth year after year, yet it has to be given $3billion/yr and still have more than 10 million people persistently on the edge of starvation.